TrueSplits

Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR · DET · on the draft board

market valueWR4· 8,285 value· tier 5· ▼ down 183 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
19.1PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (19.1) · 17 games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

19.1
Avg PPG (split)
18
Median week
41.4
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 20%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
20%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 36 chances
-6.2%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (DET)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (DET)
8.3
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.0 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
38%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+0.3
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Amon-Ra St. Brown averaged 19.1 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 256
11526% bust43% @1.5x386

Expect about 256 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 115 and 386, with a 26% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

17 games · 19.1 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@GBL445094%Goffmid8.5
2CHIW9115385%Goffsoft39.2
3@BALW777185%Goffsoft20.7
4CLEW770290%Goffmid26.0
5@CINW8100081%Gofftough18.0
6@KCL945089%Gofftough13.7
7TBW686191%Goffmid20.6
9MINL997095%Gofftough18.7
10@WASW558177%Goffsoft16.8
11@PHIL242097%Gofftough6.2
12NYGW9149197%Goffsoft29.9
13GBL0006%!Goffmid0.0
14DALW692092%Goffsoft15.2
15@LAL13164295%Goffsoft41.4
16PITL454097%Goffsoft9.4
17@MINL868083%Gofftough14.8
18@CHIW11139095%Goffsoft24.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.1yd (3.12.9yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — DETvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@MIN
Wk 16
NYG
Wk 17
@CHI
Full season
Wk 1
NO
Wk 2
@BUF
Wk 3
NYJ
Wk 4
@CAR
Wk 5
@ARI
Wk 7
GB
Wk 8
MIN
Wk 9
@MIA
Wk 10
NE
Wk 11
TB
Wk 12
CHI
Wk 13
@ATL
Wk 14
TEN
Wk 15
@MIN
Wk 16
NYG
Wk 17
@CHI
Wk 18
@GB

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.