TrueSplits

Jalen Nailor

WR · MIN

5.9PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (5.9) · 17 games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

5.9
Avg PPG (split)
5.7
Median week
23.4
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 24%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
10%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 13 chances
-1.6%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (MIN)
13%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (MIN)
13.1
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
2.4 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
18%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+1.4
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Boom/bust watch: 43% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Game log

17 games · 5.9 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@CHIW128088%McCarthysoft3.8
2ATLL3310100%McCarthymid6.1
3CINW337083%Wentztough6.7
4@PITL12163%Wentzsoft9.2
5@CLEW327065%Wentzmid7.2
7PHIL237059%Wentztough5.7
8@LACL00069%Wentztough0.0
9@DETW116053%McCarthysoft2.6
10BALL5124168%McCarthysoft23.4
11CHIL116060%McCarthysoft2.6
12@GBL00045%McCarthymid0.0
13@SEAL00069%Brosmertough0.0
14WASW330058%McCarthysoft6.0
15@DALW347251%McCarthysoft19.5
16@NYGW00062%McCarthysoft0.0
17DETW00043%Brosmersoft0.0
18GBW349075%McCarthymid7.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — MINvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 2 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
DET
Wk 16
WAS
Wk 17
@NYJ
Full season
Wk 1
GB
Wk 2
@CHI
Wk 3
@TB
Wk 4
MIA
Wk 5
@NO
Wk 7
IND
Wk 8
@DET
Wk 9
BUF
Wk 10
@GB
Wk 11
@SF
Wk 12
ATL
Wk 13
CAR
Wk 14
@NE
Wk 15
DET
Wk 16
WAS
Wk 17
@NYJ
Wk 18
CHI

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.