TrueSplits

Matthew Golden

WR · GB · on the draft board

market valueWR51· 582 value· tier 38· ▲ up 41 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
5PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (5) · 14 games
⚡ What changed
Since he lost his lead role (Wk 9):2.7 PPGdown from 7.3
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

5
Avg PPG (split)
3.4
Median week
13.2
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 0%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
3%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 4 chances
-3.6%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (GB)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (GB)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 14 games, Matthew Golden averaged 5 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 144
6576% bust5% @1.5x217

Expect about 144 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 65 and 217, with a 76% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

14 games · 5.0 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1DETW216048%Lovesoft3.6
2WASW00059%Lovesoft1.5
3@CLEL452071%Lovemid10.1
4@DALL558059%Lovesoft11.3
6CINW386069%Lovetough13.2
7@ARIW437073%Lovemid7.7
8@PITW34066%Lovesoft3.4
9CARL29037%!Lovetough2.9
11@NYGW124035%!Lovesoft3.4
14CHIW0009%!Lovesoft0.0
15@DENL355035%!Lovetough8.5
16@CHIL00031%!Willissoft0.4
17BALL112053%Willissoft2.2
18@MINL180100%Tunetough1.8

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — GBvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
MIA
Wk 16
@CHI
Wk 17
HOU
Full season
Wk 1
@MIN
Wk 2
@NYJ
Wk 3
ATL
Wk 4
@TB
Wk 5
CHI
Wk 6
DAL
Wk 7
@DET
Wk 8
CAR
Wk 9
@NE
Wk 10
MIN
Wk 12
@LA
Wk 13
@NO
Wk 14
BUF
Wk 15
MIA
Wk 16
@CHI
Wk 17
HOU
Wk 18
DET

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.