Daniel Jones
QB · IND · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Across all 13 games, Daniel Jones averaged 17.4 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 205 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 100 and 267, with a 85% chance of finishing below replacement (257).
Game log
13 games · 17.4 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Pass yd | TD | INT | Rush yd | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIAW | 272 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 100% | Jones | soft | 29.5 |
| 2 | DENW | 316 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 100% | Jones | tough | 22.8 |
| 3 | @TENW | 228 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 88% | Jones | mid | 15.8 |
| 4 | @LAL | 262 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 100% | Jones | mid | 10.4 |
| 5 | LVW | 212 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 89% | Jones | tough | 16.7 |
| 6 | ARIW | 212 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 100% | Jones | mid | 22.5 |
| 7 | @LACW | 288 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 100% | Jones | tough | 22.2 |
| 8 | TENW | 272 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 89% | Jones | mid | 23.2 |
| 9 | @PITL | 342 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 100% | Jones | soft | 14.1 |
| 10 | ATLW | 255 | 1 | 1 | 53 | 0 | 100% | Jones | mid | 15.5 |
| 12 | @KCL | 181 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 100% | Jones | tough | 16.8 |
| 13 | HOUL | 201 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% | Jones | mid | 16.1 |
| 14 | @JAXL | 60 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 23%! | Leonard | tough | 0.8 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -9.9% (6.7 → -3.2%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.