TrueSplits

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · on the draft board

market valueRB12· 5,482 value· tier 13· ▼ down 1938 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
14.4PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (14.4) · 17 games
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

14.4
Avg PPG (split)
12.1
Median week
33.5
Ceiling
4.4
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 24%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
41%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 45 chances
-1.2%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (LV)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (LV)
-0.19
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
16%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Across all 17 games, Ashton Jeanty averaged 14.4 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 230
7525% bust53% @1.5x377

Expect about 230 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 75 and 377, with a 25% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 14.4 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@NEW38122086%Smithtough12.0
2LACL43031056%Smithtough7.4
3@WASL63000061%Smithsoft6.3
4CHIL1381217285%Smithsoft33.5
5@INDL670542054%Smithtough15.9
6TENW751211079%Smithmid16.6
7@KCL210113063%Smithtough4.4
9JAXL420547191%Smithtough19.9
10@DENL60133087%Smithtough15.3
11DALL70627073%Smithsoft9.4
12CLEL500858181%Smithmid24.8
13@LACL310630096%Smithtough12.1
14DENL30028070%Smithtough5.8
15@PHIL35047071%Pickettmid8.2
16@HOUL1281160193%Smithtough31.8
17NYGL600213081%Smithsoft9.3
18KCW87037097%O'Connelltough12.4

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.7 (-0.50.2). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — LVvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
DEN
Wk 16
TEN
Wk 17
@ARI
Full season
Wk 1
MIA
Wk 2
@LAC
Wk 3
@NO
Wk 4
KC
Wk 5
@NE
Wk 6
BUF
Wk 7
LA
Wk 8
@NYJ
Wk 9
@SF
Wk 10
SEA
Wk 11
@DEN
Wk 12
@CLE
Wk 14
LAC
Wk 15
DEN
Wk 16
TEN
Wk 17
@ARI
Wk 18
@KC

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.