Kyler Murray
QB · MIN · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Boom/bust watch: 44% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.
Expect about 223 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 110 and 292, with a 75% chance of finishing below replacement (257).
Game log
5 games · 15.6 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Pass yd | TD | INT | Rush yd | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NOW | 163 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 100% | Murray | mid | 18.3 |
| 2 | CARW | 220 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 98% | Murray | tough | 14.0 |
| 3 | @SFL | 159 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 100% | Murray | soft | 14.1 |
| 4 | SEAL | 200 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 0 | 100% | Murray | tough | 16.1 |
| 5 | TENL | 220 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 96% | Murray | mid | 15.3 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.