Terrance Ferguson
TE · LA · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 4.7-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
Boom/bust watch: 49% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.
Expect about 113 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 58 and 167, with a 48% chance of finishing below replacement (110).
Game log
11 games · 4.7 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SFL | 1 | 21 | 0 | 6%! | Stafford | mid | 3.1 |
| 6 | @BALW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32%! | Stafford | tough | 0.0 |
| 7 | @JAXW | 1 | 31 | 1 | 49% | Stafford | mid | 10.1 |
| 9 | NOW | 2 | 54 | 0 | 30%! | Stafford | tough | 7.4 |
| 10 | @SFW | 1 | 32 | 0 | 32%! | Stafford | mid | 4.2 |
| 12 | TBW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27%! | Stafford | soft | 0.0 |
| 13 | @CARL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35%! | Stafford | mid | 0.0 |
| 14 | @ARIW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64% | Stafford | soft | 0.0 |
| 15 | DETW | 1 | 6 | 0 | 78% | Stafford | mid | 1.6 |
| 16 | @SEAL | 3 | 33 | 1 | 76% | Stafford | soft | 12.3 |
| 17 | @ATLL | 2 | 54 | 1 | 49% | Stafford | tough | 13.4 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.