Cam Ward

QB · TEN · on the draft board

community activityADP rising

market valueQB23· 246 value· tier 41· ▼ down 150 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

11.1PPG

+0.1 vs 2025 avg (11) · 16 games

Not enough games

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Ward

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

11.1

Avg PPG (split)

10.6

Median week

23.9

Ceiling

2.5

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 54% · regression risk

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

10%

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 10 chances

-3.7%

Team pass rate (PROE)

run-leaning play-caller (TEN)

10%

Team play-action

of dropbacks (TEN)

-3.0%

Completion % over exp

accuracy vs throw difficulty

3.00s

Time to throw

avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (1) to tell whether the 1.9-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

In games with ward, Ward averaged 11.1 PPG — 0.1 more than the 11 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 205

10085% bust5% @1.5x267

Expect about 205 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 100 and 267, with a 85% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

17 games · 11.0 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Pass yd	TD	INT	Rush yd	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	@DENL	112	0	0	0	0	100%	Ward	tough	2.5
2	LAL	175	1	0	8	0	100%	Ward	mid	9.8
3	INDL	219	1	1	12	0	100%	Ward	mid	12.0
4	@HOUL	108	0	1	22	0	100%	Ward	mid	4.5
5	@ARIW	265	0	1	-6	0	100%	Ward	mid	8.0
6	@LVL	222	1	1	0	0	100%	Ward	tough	6.9
7	NEL	255	1	1	0	0	100%	Ward	tough	10.2
8	@INDL	259	1	1	4	0	100%	Ward	mid	12.8
9	LACL	145	0	0	6	0	100%	Ward	tough	6.4
11	HOUL	194	1	0	33	0	100%	Ward	mid	13.1
12	SEAL	256	1	0	37	1	100%	Ward	tough	23.9
13	JAXL	141	0	0	7	0	100%	Ward	tough	6.3
14	@CLEW	117	2	1	4	0	100%	Ward	tough	11.1
15	@SFL	170	2	0	2	0	100%	Ward	soft	15.0
16	KCW	228	2	0	9	0	100%	Ward	tough	18.0
17	NOL	251	2	0	10	0	100%	Ward	mid	17.0
18	@JAXL	52	0	0	11	1	9%!	Allen	tough	9.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 1Wk 17

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: 0% (-4 → -3.9%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — TENvs QB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 1 soft, 0 tough

Wk 15

IND

Wk 16

@LV

Wk 17

PIT

Full season

Wk 1

NYJ

Wk 2

PHI

Wk 3

@NYG

Wk 4

@BAL

Wk 5

HOU

Wk 6

@IND

Wk 7

CLE

Wk 8

@CIN

Wk 10

JAX

Wk 11

@DAL

Wk 12

@JAX

Wk 13

WAS

Wk 14

@DET

Wk 15

IND

Wk 16

@LV

Wk 17

PIT

Wk 18

@HOU

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.