Matthew Golden
WR · GB · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (3) to tell whether the 4.5-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
In games with love, Golden averaged 6 PPG — 1 more than the 5 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 144 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 65 and 217, with a 76% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
14 games · 5.0 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DETW | 2 | 16 | 0 | 48% | Love | soft | 3.6 |
| 2 | WASW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59% | Love | soft | 1.5 |
| 3 | @CLEL | 4 | 52 | 0 | 71% | Love | mid | 10.1 |
| 4 | @DALL | 5 | 58 | 0 | 59% | Love | soft | 11.3 |
| 6 | CINW | 3 | 86 | 0 | 69% | Love | tough | 13.2 |
| 7 | @ARIW | 4 | 37 | 0 | 73% | Love | mid | 7.7 |
| 8 | @PITW | 3 | 4 | 0 | 66% | Love | soft | 3.4 |
| 9 | CARL | 2 | 9 | 0 | 37%! | Love | tough | 2.9 |
| 11 | @NYGW | 1 | 24 | 0 | 35%! | Love | soft | 3.4 |
| 14 | CHIW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9%! | Love | soft | 0.0 |
| 15 | @DENL | 3 | 55 | 0 | 35%! | Love | tough | 8.5 |
| 16 | @CHIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31%! | Willis | soft | 0.4 |
| 17 | BALL | 1 | 12 | 0 | 53% | Willis | soft | 2.2 |
| 18 | @MINL | 1 | 8 | 0 | 100% | Tune | tough | 1.8 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.