Woody Marks
RB · HOU · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Likely noise: This 1.2-PPG gap is within the margin of error — no bigger than his normal week-to-week swing (±6.9), so treat it as noise, not a real edge.
In games with stroud, Marks averaged 9.4 PPG — 0.3 more than the 9.1 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 92 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 30 and 151, with a 88% chance of finishing below replacement (148).
Game log
16 games · 9.1 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rush yd | TD | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @LAL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11%! | Stroud | mid | 0.3 |
| 2 | TBL | 14 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 27%! | Stroud | mid | 6.1 |
| 3 | @JAXL | 27 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 48% | Stroud | tough | 4.6 |
| 4 | TENW | 69 | 1 | 4 | 50 | 1 | 56% | Stroud | mid | 27.9 |
| 5 | @BALW | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39%! | Stroud | soft | 2.4 |
| 7 | @SEAL | 15 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 63% | Stroud | tough | 12.5 |
| 8 | SFW | 62 | 0 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 40% | Stroud | soft | 15.1 |
| 9 | DENL | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48% | Mills | tough | 2.7 |
| 10 | JAXW | 63 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 80% | Mills | tough | 16.1 |
| 11 | @TENW | 44 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 66% | Mills | mid | 6.1 |
| 12 | BUFW | 74 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 | 69% | Mills | soft | 7.9 |
| 13 | @INDW | 64 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 54% | Stroud | tough | 7.7 |
| 14 | @KCW | 68 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 87% | Stroud | tough | 15.6 |
| 15 | ARIW | 30 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 22%! | Stroud | soft | 4.8 |
| 17 | @LACW | 71 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 68% | Stroud | tough | 8.5 |
| 18 | INDW | 48 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 46% | Stroud | tough | 6.8 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.2 (0.1 → 0). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.