Jacory Croskey-Merritt

RB · WAS · on the draft board

community activityADP rising

market valueRB40· 841 value· tier 36· ▲ up 118 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

6.7PPG

-1.5 vs 2025 avg (8.3) · 8 games

Likely noise

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Mariota

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

6.7

Avg PPG (split)

Median week

15.6

Ceiling

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 34%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

23%

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 33 chances

-1.7%

Team pass rate (PROE)

balanced play-caller (WAS)

12%

Team play-action

of dropbacks (WAS)

+0.79

Rush yds over exp / att

efficiency vs his blocking

28%

Stacked boxes

carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Likely noise: This 2.9-PPG gap is within the margin of error — no bigger than his normal week-to-week swing (±7.5), so treat it as noise, not a real edge.

In games with mariota, Croskey-Merritt averaged 6.7 PPG — 1.5 fewer than the 8.3 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Boom/bust watch: 48% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 119

3968% bust5% @1.5x194

Expect about 119 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 39 and 194, with a 68% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 8.3 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rush yd	TD	Rec	Yds	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	NYGW	82	1	0	0	33%!	Daniels	soft	14.2
2	@GBL	17	0	0	0	22%!	Daniels	mid	1.7
3	LVW	26	1	1	5	40%	Mariota	mid	10.1
4	@ATLL	47	0	2	10	35%!	Mariota	mid	7.7
5	@LACW	111	2	2	39	47%	Daniels	tough	27.0
6	CHIL	61	0	1	7	66%	Daniels	soft	5.8
7	@DALL	33	0	1	-1	49%	Daniels	soft	4.2
8	@KCL	25	0	0	0	57%	Mariota	tough	2.5
9	SEAL	38	0	1	3	46%	Daniels	tough	5.1
10	DETL	30	0	0	0	44%	Mariota	tough	3.0
11	@MIAL	28	0	1	5	27%!	Mariota	mid	4.3
13	DENL	20	0	0	0	14%!	Mariota	tough	2.0
14	@MINL	32	0	0	0	19%!	Daniels	tough	3.2
15	@NYGW	96	1	0	0	52%	Mariota	soft	15.6
16	PHIL	25	1	0	0	20%!	Mariota	mid	8.5
17	DALL	105	2	0	0	64%	Johnson	soft	22.5
18	@PHIW	29	0	0	0	36%!	Johnson	mid	2.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.1 (1 → 1.2). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — WASvs RB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 0 soft, 2 tough

Wk 15

ATL

Wk 16

@MIN

Wk 17

@JAX

Full season

Wk 1

@PHI

Wk 2

@DAL

Wk 3

SEA

Wk 4

IND

Wk 5

NYG

Wk 6

@SF

Wk 8

PHI

Wk 9

Wk 10

@NYG

Wk 11

CIN

Wk 12

@ARI

Wk 13

@TEN

Wk 14

HOU

Wk 15

ATL

Wk 16

@MIN

Wk 17

@JAX

Wk 18

DAL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.