Dylan Sampson

RB · CLE · on the draft board

market valueRB55· 81 value· tier 44· ▲ up 22 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

7.1PPG

+1.2 vs 2025 avg (5.8) · 6 games

Likely noise

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Sanders

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

7.1

Avg PPG (split)

6.1

Median week

16.2

Ceiling

1.9

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 14%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

11%

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 13 chances

-4.1%

Team pass rate (PROE)

run-leaning play-caller (CLE)

11%

Team play-action

of dropbacks (CLE)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Likely noise: This 2-PPG gap is within the margin of error — no bigger than his normal week-to-week swing (±5.6), so treat it as noise, not a real edge.

In games with sanders, Sampson averaged 7.1 PPG — 1.2 more than the 5.8 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Boom/bust watch: 61% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 92

3088% bust5% @1.5x151

Expect about 92 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 30 and 151, with a 88% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

15 games · 5.8 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rush yd	Rec	Yds	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	CINL	29	8	64	0	43%	Flacco	soft	17.3
2	@BALL	6	3	13	1	23%!	Flacco	soft	10.9
3	GBW	2	0	0	0	8%!	Flacco	mid	0.2
4	@DETL	-2	0	0	0	13%!	Flacco	tough	-0.2
5	MINL	-4	1	6	0	10%!	Gabriel	tough	1.2
6	@PITL	12	2	12	0	18%!	Gabriel	tough	4.4
7	MIAW	8	1	9	0	16%!	Gabriel	mid	2.7
8	@NEL	0	5	29	0	46%	Gabriel	tough	7.9
10	@NYJL	-4	1	3	0	30%!	Gabriel	soft	0.9
11	BALL	19	0	0	0	11%!	Sanders	soft	1.9
12	@LVW	23	2	59	1	37%!	Sanders	mid	16.2
13	SFL	23	0	0	0	19%!	Sanders	soft	2.3
14	TENL	4	5	64	0	38%!	Sanders	mid	9.8
17	PITW	27	3	0	0	35%!	Sanders	tough	5.7
18	@CINW	32	2	12	0	50%	Sanders	soft	6.4

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — CLEvs RB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 2 soft, 1 tough

Wk 15

@NYG

Wk 16

@BAL

Wk 17

IND

Full season

Wk 1

@JAX

Wk 2

@TB

Wk 3

CAR

Wk 4

PIT

Wk 5

@NYJ

Wk 6

BAL

Wk 7

@TEN

Wk 8

@PIT

Wk 9

@NO

Wk 10

HOU

Wk 12

Wk 13

CIN

Wk 14

ATL

Wk 15

@NYG

Wk 16

@BAL

Wk 17

IND

Wk 18

@CIN

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.