Jayden Higgins
WR · HOU · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Signal: This 4.8-PPG gap in his averages is well outside the margin of error for this sample — real signal, not noise (his individual games still swing ±5.4).
Across all 11 games, Jayden Higgins averaged 9.3 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 126 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 56 and 190, with a 87% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
17 games · 7.6 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @LAL | 2 | 32 | 0 | 43% | Stroud | soft | 5.2 |
| 2 | TBL | 1 | 28 | 0 | 43% | Stroud | mid | 3.8 |
| 3 | @JAXL | 1 | 5 | 0 | 44% | Stroud | mid | 1.5 |
| 4 | TENW | 1 | 24 | 1 | 44% | Stroud | soft | 9.4 |
| 5 | @BALW | 4 | 32 | 0 | 56% | Stroud | soft | 7.2 |
| 7 | @SEAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63% | Stroud | tough | 0.0 |
| 8 | SFW | 4 | 34 | 1 | 82% | Stroud | soft | 13.4 |
| 9 | DENL | 1 | 4 | 0 | 48% | Mills | tough | 1.4 |
| 10 | JAXW | 5 | 42 | 1 | 57% | Mills | mid | 15.2 |
| 11 | @TENW | 4 | 55 | 0 | 61% | Mills | soft | 9.5 |
| 12 | BUFW | 4 | 38 | 1 | 58% | Mills | tough | 13.8 |
| 13 | @INDW | 5 | 65 | 0 | 58% | Stroud | soft | 11.5 |
| 14 | @KCW | 3 | 34 | 0 | 60% | Stroud | tough | 6.4 |
| 15 | ARIW | 1 | 4 | 0 | 72% | Stroud | mid | 1.4 |
| 16 | LVW | 1 | 17 | 0 | 54% | Stroud | mid | 2.7 |
| 17 | @LACW | 2 | 88 | 1 | 49% | Stroud | tough | 16.8 |
| 18 | INDW | 2 | 23 | 1 | 81% | Stroud | soft | 10.3 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.3yd (2.3 → 2.6yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.