Tyler Warren
TE · IND · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Signal: This 6.8-PPG gap in his averages is well outside the margin of error for this sample — real signal, not noise (his individual games still swing ±4.9).
In games with jones, Warren averaged 13.1 PPG — 2 more than the 11.1 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 148 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 76 and 220, with a 25% chance of finishing below replacement (110).
Game log
17 games · 11.1 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIAW | 7 | 76 | 0 | 73% | Jones | soft | 14.9 |
| 2 | DENW | 4 | 79 | 0 | 93% | Jones | mid | 11.9 |
| 3 | @TENW | 3 | 38 | 0 | 68% | Jones | soft | 6.8 |
| 4 | @LAL | 5 | 70 | 0 | 89% | Jones | mid | 18.3 |
| 5 | LVW | 4 | 44 | 1 | 71% | Jones | mid | 14.4 |
| 6 | ARIW | 6 | 63 | 1 | 88% | Jones | soft | 18.3 |
| 7 | @LACW | 4 | 69 | 1 | 92% | Jones | tough | 16.9 |
| 8 | TENW | 4 | 53 | 0 | 74% | Jones | soft | 9.3 |
| 9 | @PITL | 5 | 26 | 0 | 85% | Jones | soft | 7.6 |
| 10 | ATLW | 8 | 99 | 0 | 88% | Jones | tough | 17.9 |
| 12 | @KCL | 5 | 45 | 0 | 86% | Jones | tough | 9.5 |
| 13 | HOUL | 3 | 22 | 1 | 87% | Jones | tough | 11.2 |
| 14 | @JAXL | 2 | 15 | 0 | 93% | Leonard | mid | 3.7 |
| 15 | @SEAL | 3 | 19 | 0 | 82% | Rivers | soft | 4.9 |
| 16 | SFL | 3 | 30 | 0 | 88% | Rivers | mid | 6.0 |
| 17 | JAXL | 5 | 43 | 0 | 86% | Rivers | mid | 9.3 |
| 18 | @HOUL | 5 | 26 | 0 | 82% | Leonard | tough | 7.6 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.9yd (3.5 → 2.6yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.