TrueSplits

Ladd McConkey

WR · LAC · on the draft board

market valueWR20· 3,284 value· tier 23· ▼ down 162 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
11.3PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (11.3) · 16 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

11.3
Avg PPG (split)
11.6
Median week
23
Ceiling
2.1
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 20%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
10%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 15 chances
+1.8%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (LAC)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (LAC)
10.0
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.3 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
24%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+1.0
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 11.3-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 16 games, Ladd McConkey averaged 11.3 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 202
9042% bust18% @1.5x304

Expect about 202 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 90 and 304, with a 42% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

16 games · 11.3 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1KCW674085%Herberttough13.4
2@LVW548074%Herbertmid9.8
3DENW441093%Herberttough8.1
4@NYGL111092%Herbertsoft2.1
5WASL539179%Herbertsoft14.9
6@MIAW7100169%Herbertmid23.0
7INDL967088%Herbertsoft15.7
8MINW688158%Herberttough20.8
9@TENW456069%Herbertsoft9.6
10PITW4107171%Herbertsoft20.7
11@JAXL313062%Herbertmid4.3
13LVW439176%Herbertmid13.9
14PHIW112086%Herberttough2.2
15@KCW220074%Herberttough4.0
16@DALW443175%Herbertsoft14.3
17HOUL131089%Herberttough4.1

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 16

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.9yd (3.52.6yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — LACvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
SF
Wk 16
@MIA
Wk 17
KC
Full season
Wk 1
ARI
Wk 2
LV
Wk 3
@BUF
Wk 4
@SEA
Wk 5
DEN
Wk 6
@KC
Wk 8
@LA
Wk 9
HOU
Wk 10
@BAL
Wk 11
NYJ
Wk 12
NE
Wk 13
@TB
Wk 14
@LV
Wk 15
SF
Wk 16
@MIA
Wk 17
KC
Wk 18
@DEN

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.