Xavier Worthy
WR · KC · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (2) to tell whether the 5.5-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
In games with mahomes, Worthy averaged 8.6 PPG — 0.8 more than the 7.9 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 144 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 65 and 217, with a 76% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
14 games · 7.9 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @LACL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5%! | Mahomes | tough | 0.0 |
| 4 | BALW | 5 | 83 | 0 | 59% | Mahomes | soft | 17.1 |
| 5 | @JAXL | 6 | 42 | 0 | 77% | Mahomes | mid | 11.1 |
| 6 | DETW | 2 | 20 | 1 | 73% | Mahomes | soft | 10.6 |
| 7 | LVW | 3 | 35 | 0 | 59% | Mahomes | mid | 7.8 |
| 8 | WASW | 5 | 53 | 0 | 84% | Mahomes | soft | 10.3 |
| 9 | @BUFL | 3 | 23 | 0 | 83% | Mahomes | tough | 6.0 |
| 11 | @DENL | 3 | 25 | 0 | 76% | Mahomes | tough | 5.5 |
| 12 | INDW | 4 | 59 | 0 | 77% | Mahomes | soft | 9.9 |
| 13 | @DALL | 4 | 61 | 0 | 88% | Mahomes | soft | 11.4 |
| 14 | HOUL | 3 | 55 | 0 | 77% | Mahomes | tough | 8.5 |
| 15 | LACL | 2 | 35 | 0 | 67% | Mahomes | tough | 5.5 |
| 16 | @TENL | 2 | 41 | 0 | 84% | Oladokun | soft | 6.1 |
| 17 | DENL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79% | Oladokun | tough | 0.1 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.6yd (3.4 → 4yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.