TrueSplits

Malik Washington

WR · MIA · on the draft board

market valueWR66· 63 value· tier 44· ▲ up 63 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
6.7PPG
-0.2 vs 2025 avg (6.9) · 14 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Tagovailoa
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

6.7
Avg PPG (split)
6.7
Median week
13.6
Ceiling
2
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 13%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
10%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 14 chances
-3.4%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (MIA)
13%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (MIA)
5.2
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.7 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
11%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+0.9
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (3) to tell whether the 1.2-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

In games with tagovailoa, Washington averaged 6.7 PPG0.2 fewer than the 6.9 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 112
5094% bust5% @1.5x168

Expect about 112 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 50 and 168, with a 94% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

17 games · 6.9 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@INDL220058%Tagovailoasoft4.9
2NEL12061%Tagovailoamid9.5
3@BUFL312054%Tagovailoatough6.2
4NYJW213048%Tagovailoamid4.1
5@CARL40058%Tagovailoatough4.0
6LACL422044%Tagovailoatough6.3
7@CLEL530064%Tagovailoamid8.0
8@ATLW436162%Tagovailoamid13.6
9BALL348070%Tagovailoasoft7.1
10BUFW29145%Tagovailoatough9.3
11WASW342050%Tagovailoasoft7.2
13NOW430060%Tagovailoatough7.0
14@NYJW310052%Tagovailoamid4.0
15@PITL110056%Tagovailoasoft2.0
16CINL123053%Ewerstough10.2
17TBW14064%Ewersmid1.5
18@NEL36170%Ewersmid11.8

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 13

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.4yd (4.34yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — MIAvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
@GB
Wk 16
LAC
Wk 17
BUF
Full season
Wk 1
@LV
Wk 2
@SF
Wk 3
KC
Wk 4
@MIN
Wk 5
CIN
Wk 7
@NYJ
Wk 8
NE
Wk 9
DET
Wk 10
@IND
Wk 11
@BUF
Wk 12
NYJ
Wk 13
@DEN
Wk 14
CHI
Wk 15
@GB
Wk 16
LAC
Wk 17
BUF
Wk 18
@NE

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.