Ray Davis

RB · BUF · on the draft board

community activityADP falling

2.4PPG

-1.4 vs 2025 avg (3.8) · 16 games

Not enough games

SeasonLive · Free

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Allen

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

2.4

Avg PPG (split)

1.4

Median week

9.9

Ceiling

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 16%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 12 chances

-2.5%

Team pass rate (PROE)

balanced play-caller (BUF)

11%

Team play-action

of dropbacks (BUF)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (1) to tell whether the 23-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

In games with allen, Davis averaged 2.4 PPG — 1.4 fewer than the 3.8 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 90

2990% bust5% @1.5x148

Expect about 90 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 29 and 148, with a 90% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 3.8 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rush yd	Rec	Yds	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	BALW	2	1	-1	0	12%!	Allen	soft	1.1
2	@NYJW	24	0	0	0	27%!	Allen	soft	2.4
3	MIAW	0	0	0	0	7%!	Allen	mid	0.0
4	NOW	3	0	0	0	8%!	Allen	mid	0.3
5	NEL	1	0	0	0	9%!	Allen	tough	0.1
6	@ATLL	0	2	19	1	4%!	Allen	mid	9.9
8	@CARW	16	0	0	0	24%!	Allen	soft	1.6
9	KCW	0	0	0	0	5%!	Allen	tough	0.0
10	@MIAL	-2	1	0	0	10%!	Allen	mid	0.8
11	TBW	0	0	0	0	2%!	Allen	mid	0.0
12	@HOUL	0	0	0	0	9%!	Allen	tough	6.0
13	@PITW	62	0	0	0	18%!	Allen	tough	6.2
14	CINW	0	0	0	0	6%!	Allen	soft	0.0
15	@NEW	0	1	13	0	9%!	Allen	tough	2.3
16	@CLEW	14	2	20	0	16%!	Allen	mid	5.4
17	PHIL	4	1	12	0	13%!	Allen	mid	2.6
18	NYJW	151	2	23	1	64%	Trubisky	soft	25.4

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — BUFvs RB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 1 soft, 1 tough

Wk 15

CHI

Wk 16

@DEN

Wk 17

@MIA

Full season

Wk 1

@HOU

Wk 2

DET

Wk 3

LAC

Wk 4

Wk 5

@LA

Wk 6

@LV

Wk 8

BAL

Wk 9

@MIN

Wk 10

@NYJ

Wk 11

MIA

Wk 12

Wk 13

@NE

Wk 14

@GB

Wk 15

CHI

Wk 16

@DEN

Wk 17

@MIA

Wk 18

NYJ

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.