TrueSplits

Jalen McMillan

WR · TB · on the draft board

market valueWR69· 34 value· tier 44— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
7.5PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (7.5) · 4 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

7.5
Avg PPG (split)
4.7
Median week
18.4
Ceiling
2.1
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 0%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
1%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 2 chances
-2.5%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (TB)
8%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (TB)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 7.5-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 4 games, Jalen McMillan averaged 7.5 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 124
5688% bust5% @1.5x187

Expect about 124 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 56 and 187, with a 88% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

4 games · 7.5 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
15ATLL238046%Mayfieldmid5.8
16@CARL215053%Mayfieldtough3.6
17@MIAL7114052%Mayfieldmid18.4
18CARW111055%Mayfieldtough2.1

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — TBvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
NO
Wk 16
@ATL
Wk 17
LA
Full season
Wk 1
@CIN
Wk 2
CLE
Wk 3
MIN
Wk 4
GB
Wk 5
@DAL
Wk 6
PIT
Wk 7
@CAR
Wk 8
ATL
Wk 9
@CHI
Wk 11
@DET
Wk 12
CAR
Wk 13
LAC
Wk 14
@BAL
Wk 15
NO
Wk 16
@ATL
Wk 17
LA
Wk 18
@NO

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.