Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR · ARI · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Likely noise: This 3.2-PPG gap is within the margin of error — no bigger than his normal week-to-week swing (±7.1), so treat it as noise, not a real edge.
In games with murray, Harrison averaged 12.5 PPG — 1.9 more than the 10.7 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Boom/bust watch: 59% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.
Expect about 165 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 74 and 249, with a 61% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
12 games · 10.7 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NOW | 5 | 71 | 1 | 89% | Murray | tough | 18.1 |
| 2 | CARW | 2 | 27 | 0 | 93% | Murray | tough | 4.7 |
| 3 | @SFL | 3 | 44 | 0 | 80% | Murray | soft | 7.4 |
| 4 | SEAL | 6 | 66 | 1 | 100% | Murray | tough | 18.6 |
| 5 | TENL | 4 | 98 | 0 | 76% | Murray | soft | 13.8 |
| 6 | @INDL | 2 | 32 | 0 | 23%! | Brissett | soft | 5.2 |
| 7 | GBL | 2 | 58 | 0 | 86% | Brissett | mid | 7.8 |
| 9 | @DALW | 7 | 96 | 1 | 72% | Brissett | soft | 22.6 |
| 10 | @SEAL | 3 | 33 | 1 | 91% | Brissett | tough | 14.3 |
| 13 | @TBL | 6 | 69 | 0 | 61% | Brissett | mid | 12.9 |
| 16 | ATLL | 1 | 14 | 0 | 51% | Brissett | mid | 2.4 |
| 17 | @CINL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33%! | Brissett | tough | 0.0 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.4yd (2.7 → 2.3yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.