Bo Nix

QB · DEN · on the draft board

market valueQB12· 1,622 value· tier 32· ▲ up 156 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

17.9PPG

+0 vs 2025 avg (17.9) · 17 games

Not enough games

SeasonLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

17.9

Avg PPG (split)

16.4

Median week

Ceiling

5.8

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 59% · regression risk

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

11%

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 18 chances

+1.6%

Team pass rate (PROE)

balanced play-caller (DEN)

12%

Team play-action

of dropbacks (DEN)

-2.1%

Completion % over exp

accuracy vs throw difficulty

2.86s

Time to throw

avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 17.9-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 17 games, Bo Nix averaged 17.9 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 258

12650% bust5% @1.5x336

Expect about 258 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 126 and 336, with a 50% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

17 games · 17.9 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Pass yd	TD	INT	Rush yd	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	TENW	176	1	2	18	0	100%	Nix	mid	6.8
2	@INDL	206	3	1	20	0	100%	Nix	mid	20.2
3	@LACL	153	1	0	33	0	100%	Nix	tough	13.4
4	CINW	326	2	1	7	1	100%	Nix	soft	25.7
5	@PHIW	242	1	0	22	0	100%	Nix	mid	17.9
6	@NYJW	174	1	0	24	0	100%	Nix	soft	13.4
7	NYGW	279	2	0	48	2	100%	Nix	mid	40.0
8	DALW	247	4	1	-1	0	94%	Nix	soft	23.8
9	@HOUW	173	2	1	36	0	100%	Nix	mid	18.5
10	LVW	150	1	2	-2	0	100%	Nix	tough	5.8
11	KCW	295	0	0	8	0	100%	Nix	tough	12.6
13	@WASW	321	1	1	16	0	100%	Nix	soft	16.4
14	@LVW	212	0	0	15	1	100%	Nix	tough	16.0
15	GBW	302	4	0	10	0	100%	Nix	soft	29.1
16	JAXL	352	1	1	11	0	100%	Nix	tough	15.2
17	@KCW	182	1	1	42	1	100%	Nix	tough	19.5
18	LACW	141	0	0	49	0	100%	Nix	tough	10.5

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 1Wk 20

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -7.6% (-0.7 → -8.3%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — DENvs QB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 0 soft, 2 tough

Wk 15

@LV

Wk 16

BUF

Wk 17

@NE

Full season

Wk 1

@KC

Wk 2

JAX

Wk 3

Wk 4

@SF

Wk 5

@LAC

Wk 6

SEA

Wk 7

@ARI

Wk 8

Wk 9

@CAR

Wk 11

Wk 12

@PIT

Wk 13

MIA

Wk 14

@NYJ

Wk 15

@LV

Wk 16

BUF

Wk 17

@NE

Wk 18

LAC

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.