TrueSplits

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

RB · NYG · on the draft board

market valueRB47· 195 value· tier 42· ▼ down 59 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
12.9PPG
+2.2 vs 2025 avg (10.7) · 10 games
Signal
⚡ What changed
Since he stepped into a lead role (Wk 8):12.9 PPGup from 6.3
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · since Wk 8
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

12.9
Avg PPG (split)
9
Median week
27.9
Ceiling
4.3
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 14%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
16%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 26 chances
-4.7%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (NYG)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (NYG)
+0.09
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
17%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Signal: This 6.7-PPG gap in his averages is well outside the margin of error for this sample — real signal, not noise (his individual games still swing ±7.7).

Across all 10 games, Tyrone Tracy Jr. averaged 12.9 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 92
3088% bust5% @1.5x151

Expect about 92 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 30 and 151, with a 88% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

15 games · 10.7 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@WASL240211074%Wilsonsoft5.5
2@DALL150436042%Wilsonsoft9.1
3KCL29027017%!Wilsontough5.6
6PHIW6000030%!Dartmid0.6
7@DENL46100036%!Darttough10.6
8@PHIL390214063%Dartmid7.3
9SFL180319044%Dartsoft6.7
10@CHIL71010067%Dartsoft8.1
11GBL880451051%Winstonmid17.9
12@DETL620368071%Winstontough16.0
13@NEL3601-3049%Darttough4.3
15WASL701327176%Dartsoft24.7
16MINL71027062%Darttough9.8
17@LVW6201-5066%Dartmid6.7
18DALW1030856169%Dartsoft27.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +1.1 (-0.30.8). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — NYGvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
CLE
Wk 16
@DET
Wk 17
@DAL
Full season
Wk 1
DAL
Wk 2
@LA
Wk 3
TEN
Wk 4
ARI
Wk 5
@WAS
Wk 6
NO
Wk 7
@HOU
Wk 9
@PHI
Wk 10
WAS
Wk 11
JAX
Wk 12
@IND
Wk 13
SF
Wk 14
@SEA
Wk 15
CLE
Wk 16
@DET
Wk 17
@DAL
Wk 18
PHI

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.