Brock Bowers
TE · LV · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (1) to tell whether the 6.4-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
In games with smith, Bowers averaged 15.2 PPG — 0.5 more than the 14.7 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 191 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 98 and 283, with a 14% chance of finishing below replacement (110).
Game log
12 games · 14.7 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NEW | 5 | 103 | 0 | 51% | Smith | soft | 15.3 |
| 2 | LACL | 5 | 38 | 0 | 77% | Smith | tough | 8.8 |
| 3 | @WASL | 4 | 38 | 0 | 83% | Smith | soft | 9.8 |
| 4 | CHIL | 5 | 46 | 0 | 77% | Smith | mid | 9.6 |
| 9 | JAXL | 12 | 127 | 3 | 81% | Smith | mid | 43.3 |
| 10 | @DENL | 1 | 31 | 0 | 83% | Smith | mid | 3.7 |
| 11 | DALL | 7 | 72 | 0 | 97% | Smith | mid | 14.2 |
| 12 | CLEL | 6 | 55 | 0 | 96% | Smith | tough | 11.5 |
| 13 | @LACL | 4 | 63 | 2 | 98% | Smith | tough | 22.3 |
| 14 | DENL | 4 | 46 | 1 | 100% | Smith | mid | 14.6 |
| 15 | @PHIL | 6 | 28 | 0 | 90% | Pickett | tough | 8.8 |
| 16 | @HOUL | 5 | 33 | 1 | 98% | Smith | tough | 14.3 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.7yd (3.3 → 2.7yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.