TrueSplits

Zach Charbonnet

RB · SEA · on the draft board

community activityADP rising
market valueRB42· 484 value· tier 38· ▼ down 197 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
11.3PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (11.3) · 16 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

11.3
Avg PPG (split)
11
Median week
26.2
Ceiling
1
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 40% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
33%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 55 chances
-5.3%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (SEA)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (SEA)
+0.33
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
35%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 11.3-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 16 games, Zach Charbonnet averaged 11.3 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 92
3088% bust5% @1.5x151

Expect about 92 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 30 and 151, with a 88% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

16 games · 11.3 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1SFL47100058%Darnoldsoft10.7
2@PITW10000055%Darnoldtough1.0
4@ARIW39125047%Darnoldsoft12.4
5TBL361112056%Darnoldmid11.8
6@JAXW240113060%Darnoldtough4.7
7HOUW49226051%Darnoldtough19.5
9@WASW250121035%!Darnoldsoft5.6
10ARIW83100037%!Darnoldsoft14.3
11@LAL370210043%Darnoldmid6.7
12@TENW35100031%!Darnoldmid9.5
13MINW52100039%!Darnoldtough11.2
14@ATLW460220041%Darnoldmid8.6
15INDW31000055%Darnoldtough3.1
16LAW321422056%Darnoldmid17.4
17@CARW1102212053%Darnoldsoft26.2
18@SFW741323057%Darnoldsoft18.7

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.8 (00.8). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — SEAvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 0 tough
Wk 15
@PHI
Wk 16
LA
Wk 17
@CAR
Full season
Wk 1
NE
Wk 2
@ARI
Wk 3
@WAS
Wk 4
LAC
Wk 5
SF
Wk 6
@DEN
Wk 7
KC
Wk 8
CHI
Wk 9
ARI
Wk 10
@LV
Wk 12
@SF
Wk 13
DAL
Wk 14
NYG
Wk 15
@PHI
Wk 16
LA
Wk 17
@CAR
Wk 18
@LA

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.