TrueSplits

Bryce Young

QB · CAR · on the draft board

community activityADP rising
market valueQB24· 197 value· tier 42· ▼ down 126 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
13.6PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (13.6) · 16 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

13.6
Avg PPG (split)
11.8
Median week
31.8
Ceiling
1.6
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 69% · regression risk
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
8%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 11 chances
-3.6%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (CAR)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (CAR)
-0.3%
Completion % over exp
accuracy vs throw difficulty
2.83s
Time to throw
avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 13.6-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 16 games, Bryce Young averaged 13.6 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 205
10085% bust5% @1.5x267

Expect about 205 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 100 and 267, with a 85% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

16 games · 13.6 PPG avg
WkOppPass ydTDINTRush ydTDSnapQBDefPts
1@JAXL15412400100%Youngtough8.2
2@ARIL3283120100%Youngmid21.3
3ATLW121008198%Youngmid11.6
4@NEL150103081%Youngtough10.3
5MIAW1982110100%Youngsoft12.0
6DALW1993150100%Youngsoft18.5
7@NYJW1381010069%Youngsoft10.5
9@GBW1020190100%Youngsoft3.0
10NOL1240160100%Youngmid1.6
11@ATLW44830-10100%Youngmid31.8
12@SFL16912150100%Youngsoft8.3
13LAW20630230100%Youngmid22.5
15@NOL16310490100%Youngmid15.4
16TBW19120200100%Youngsoft17.6
17SEAL5401271100%Youngtough8.9
18@TBL26621-10100%Youngsoft16.5

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +1.2% (-0.80.4%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — CARvs QB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
CIN
Wk 16
@PIT
Wk 17
SEA
Full season
Wk 1
CHI
Wk 2
@ATL
Wk 3
@CLE
Wk 4
DET
Wk 6
@PHI
Wk 7
TB
Wk 8
@GB
Wk 9
DEN
Wk 10
@NO
Wk 11
BAL
Wk 12
@TB
Wk 13
@MIN
Wk 14
NO
Wk 15
CIN
Wk 16
@PIT
Wk 17
SEA
Wk 18
ATL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.