Jayden Reed
WR · GB · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (2) to tell whether the 3.5-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
In games with love, Reed averaged 11.1 PPG — 1.4 more than the 9.7 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 147 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 66 and 221, with a 75% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
5 games · 9.7 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DETW | 3 | 45 | 1 | 38%! | Love | soft | 13.5 |
| 14 | CHIW | 4 | 31 | 0 | 47% | Love | soft | 9.3 |
| 15 | @DENL | 5 | 55 | 0 | 65% | Love | tough | 10.5 |
| 16 | @CHIL | 3 | 35 | 0 | 64% | Willis | soft | 7.1 |
| 17 | BALL | 4 | 41 | 0 | 51% | Willis | soft | 8.1 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.