TrueSplits

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · DET · on the draft board

market valueRB1· 10,775 value· tier 1· ▲ up 836 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
21.6PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (21.6) · 17 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

21.6
Avg PPG (split)
19.4
Median week
55.4
Ceiling
5.8
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 29%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
37%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 67 chances
-6.2%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (DET)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (DET)
+0.70
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
22%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 21.6-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 17 games, Jahmyr Gibbs averaged 21.6 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 260
8521% bust60% @1.5x426

Expect about 260 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 85 and 426, with a 21% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 21.6 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@GBL1901031066%Goffmid15.0
2CHIW941310056%Goffsoft19.4
3@BALW672532069%Goffsoft26.9
4CLEW91126062%Goffmid17.7
5@CINW540233152%Goffsoft16.7
6@KCL65010069%Gofftough7.5
7TBW1362382056%Goffmid36.8
9MINL25033066%Gofftough5.8
10@WASW1422330150%Goffsoft38.2
11@PHIL3905107073%Goffmid19.6
12NYGW21921145174%Goffsoft55.4
13GBL680318070%Goffmid11.6
14DALW433777069%Goffsoft37.0
15@LAL380420081%Goffmid9.8
16PITL201066186%Gofftough22.8
17@MINL410223069%Gofftough6.4
18@CHIW800333171%Goffsoft20.3

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 2Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -2.2 (1.6-0.6). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — DETvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@MIN
Wk 16
NYG
Wk 17
@CHI
Full season
Wk 1
NO
Wk 2
@BUF
Wk 3
NYJ
Wk 4
@CAR
Wk 5
@ARI
Wk 7
GB
Wk 8
MIN
Wk 9
@MIA
Wk 10
NE
Wk 11
TB
Wk 12
CHI
Wk 13
@ATL
Wk 14
TEN
Wk 15
@MIN
Wk 16
NYG
Wk 17
@CHI
Wk 18
@GB

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.