TSTrueSplitsthe fantasy stats that show their work

Zay Flowers

WR · BAL · on the draft board

14.5PPG
+0.2 vs 2025 avg (14.3) · 12 games
Likely noise
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Jackson
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

14.5
Avg PPG (split)
13.3
Median week
29.8
Ceiling
0.6
Floor
Usage & role context — 2025Live · Free
8%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 13 chances
-9.5%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (BAL)
◆ What the average was hiding

Likely noise: This 0.7-PPG gap is within the margin of error — no bigger than his normal week-to-week swing (±7.5), so treat it as noise, not a real edge.

In games with jackson, Flowers averaged 14.5 PPG0.2 more than the 14.3 PPG season line your draft board shows.