De'Von Achane
RB · MIA · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (2) to tell whether the 4.7-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
In games with tagovailoa, Achane averaged 20.8 PPG — 0.6 more than the 20.2 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 233 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 76 and 381, with a 25% chance of finishing below replacement (148).
Game log
16 games · 20.2 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rush yd | TD | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @INDL | 55 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 73% | Tagovailoa | tough | 16.5 |
| 2 | NEL | 30 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 1 | 93% | Tagovailoa | tough | 26.2 |
| 3 | @BUFL | 62 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 0 | 77% | Tagovailoa | soft | 16.1 |
| 4 | NYJW | 99 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 76% | Tagovailoa | soft | 17.1 |
| 5 | @CARL | 16 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 87% | Tagovailoa | soft | 16.6 |
| 6 | LACL | 128 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 85% | Tagovailoa | tough | 31.0 |
| 7 | @CLEL | 82 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 55% | Tagovailoa | mid | 12.8 |
| 8 | @ATLW | 67 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 1 | 67% | Tagovailoa | mid | 20.1 |
| 9 | BALL | 67 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 91% | Tagovailoa | soft | 16.6 |
| 10 | BUFW | 174 | 2 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 89% | Tagovailoa | soft | 40.5 |
| 11 | WASW | 120 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 0 | 80% | Tagovailoa | soft | 21.5 |
| 13 | NOW | 134 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73% | Tagovailoa | mid | 19.4 |
| 14 | @NYJW | 92 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 34%! | Tagovailoa | soft | 17.5 |
| 15 | @PITL | 60 | 0 | 6 | 67 | 0 | 80% | Tagovailoa | tough | 18.7 |
| 16 | CINL | 81 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 71% | Ewers | soft | 18.0 |
| 17 | TBW | 83 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 75% | Ewers | mid | 14.2 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.4 (0.6 → 0.2). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.