Dalton Kincaid
TE · BUF · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (1) to tell whether the 3-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
In games with allen, Kincaid averaged 10.8 PPG — 0.2 more than the 10.5 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 124 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 64 and 184, with a 39% chance of finishing below replacement (110).
Game log
12 games · 10.5 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BALW | 4 | 48 | 1 | 51% | Allen | tough | 14.8 |
| 2 | @NYJW | 4 | 37 | 0 | 48% | Allen | soft | 7.7 |
| 3 | MIAW | 5 | 66 | 1 | 55% | Allen | soft | 17.6 |
| 4 | NOW | 1 | 28 | 1 | 37%! | Allen | tough | 9.8 |
| 5 | NEL | 6 | 108 | 0 | 54% | Allen | soft | 16.8 |
| 8 | @CARW | 1 | 23 | 0 | 22%! | Allen | mid | 3.3 |
| 9 | KCW | 6 | 101 | 1 | 35%! | Allen | tough | 22.1 |
| 10 | @MIAL | 2 | 37 | 0 | 26%! | Allen | soft | 5.7 |
| 14 | CINW | 4 | 41 | 1 | 34%! | Allen | soft | 14.1 |
| 15 | @NEW | 3 | 34 | 0 | 36%! | Allen | soft | 6.4 |
| 16 | @CLEW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38%! | Allen | tough | 0.0 |
| 18 | NYJW | 3 | 48 | 0 | 13%! | Trubisky | soft | 7.8 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.2yd (3.4 → 3.6yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.