TrueSplits

Tre Tucker

WR · LV · on the draft board

market valueWR65· 69 value· tier 44· ▼ down 32 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
10.4PPG
+0.9 vs 2025 avg (9.5) · 15 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Smith
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

10.4
Avg PPG (split)
8.3
Median week
40.9
Ceiling
4.2
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 19%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
10%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 11 chances
-1.2%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (LV)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (LV)
10.3
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.6 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
29%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+0.2
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (2) to tell whether the 7.7-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

In games with smith, Tucker averaged 10.4 PPG0.9 more than the 9.5 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 126
5687% bust5% @1.5x190

Expect about 126 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 56 and 190, with a 87% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

17 games · 9.5 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@NEW254190%Smithmid13.4
2LACL312091%Smithtough4.9
3@WASL8145394%Smithsoft40.9
4CHIL213098%Smithsoft4.2
5@INDL462088%Smithsoft11.1
6TENW570092%Smithsoft12.0
7@KCL533089%Smithtough8.3
9JAXL338097%Smithmid6.8
10@DENL2280100%Smithtough5.5
11DALL447197%Smithsoft14.7
12CLEL328095%Smithmid5.8
13@LACL320096%Smithtough5.0
14DENL224094%Smithtough4.4
15@PHIL00093%Picketttough0.0
16@HOUL4430100%Smithtough9.4
17NYGL5490100%Smithsoft9.9
18KCW230098%O'Connelltough5.4

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 2Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.8yd (3.93.1yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — LVvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
DEN
Wk 16
TEN
Wk 17
@ARI
Full season
Wk 1
MIA
Wk 2
@LAC
Wk 3
@NO
Wk 4
KC
Wk 5
@NE
Wk 6
BUF
Wk 7
LA
Wk 8
@NYJ
Wk 9
@SF
Wk 10
SEA
Wk 11
@DEN
Wk 12
@CLE
Wk 14
LAC
Wk 15
DEN
Wk 16
TEN
Wk 17
@ARI
Wk 18
@KC

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.