Keaton Mitchell

RB · LAC · on the draft board

community activityADP rising

market valueRB49· 163 value· tier 42· ▲ up 41 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

5.2PPG

+1 vs 2025 avg (4.3) · 8 games

Uncertain

SeasonLive · Free

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Jackson

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

5.2

Avg PPG (split)

4.9

Median week

11.1

Ceiling

0.2

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 14%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 14 chances

-9.5%

Team pass rate (PROE)

run-leaning play-caller (BAL)

Team play-action

of dropbacks (BAL)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Uncertain: This 2.5-PPG gap is on the edge of the margin of error — suggestive, but this sample can't cleanly separate it from his ±3.3 week-to-week swing.

In games with jackson, Mitchell averaged 5.2 PPG — 1 more than the 4.3 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Boom/bust watch: 45% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 92

3088% bust5% @1.5x151

Expect about 92 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 30 and 151, with a 88% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

13 games · 4.3 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rush yd	TD	Rec	Yds	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
5	HOUL	8	0	1	5	9%!	Rush	tough	2.3
6	LAL	0	0	0	0	3%!	Rush	mid	0.0
8	CHIW	43	0	0	0	11%!	Huntley	soft	4.3
9	@MIAW	11	0	1	7	18%!	Jackson	mid	2.8
10	@MINW	31	0	0	0	7%!	Jackson	tough	3.1
11	@CLEW	31	0	2	23	26%!	Jackson	mid	7.4
12	NYJW	10	0	1	9	19%!	Jackson	soft	2.9
13	CINL	19	1	2	12	13%!	Jackson	soft	11.1
14	PITL	76	0	0	0	15%!	Jackson	tough	7.6
15	@CINW	66	0	0	0	39%!	Jackson	soft	6.6
16	NEL	13	0	0	0	35%!	Huntley	tough	1.3
17	@GBW	31	0	2	7	18%!	Huntley	mid	5.8
18	@PITL	2	0	0	0	14%!	Jackson	tough	0.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — LACvs RB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 2 soft, 1 tough

Wk 15

Wk 16

@MIA

Wk 17

Full season

Wk 1

ARI

Wk 2

Wk 3

@BUF

Wk 4

@SEA

Wk 5

DEN

Wk 6

@KC

Wk 8

@LA

Wk 9

HOU

Wk 10

@BAL

Wk 11

NYJ

Wk 12

Wk 13

@TB

Wk 14

@LV

Wk 15

Wk 16

@MIA

Wk 17

Wk 18

@DEN

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.