TrueSplits

Kenneth Walker III

RB · KC · on the draft board

market valueRB10· 6,227 value· tier 9· ▲ up 541 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
11.3PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (11.3) · 17 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

11.3
Avg PPG (split)
9.6
Median week
25.4
Ceiling
2.9
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 16%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
22%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 37 chances
-5.3%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (SEA)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (SEA)
+0.18
Rush yds over exp / att
efficiency vs his blocking
28%
Stacked boxes
carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 11.3-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 17 games, Kenneth Walker III averaged 11.3 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 189
6135% bust37% @1.5x309

Expect about 189 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 61 and 309, with a 35% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 11.3 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1SFL20034040%Darnoldsoft5.4
2@PITW1051113035%!Darnoldtough18.8
3NOW382112053%Darnoldmid18.0
4@ARIW810129050%Darnoldsoft12.0
5TBL86010044%Darnoldmid9.6
6@JAXW34013035%!Darnoldtough4.7
7HOUW66000044%Darnoldtough6.6
9@WASW420219057%Darnoldsoft8.1
10ARIW67013044%Darnoldsoft8.0
11@LAL671344051%Darnoldmid20.1
12@TENW710330062%Darnoldmid13.1
13MINW560318055%Darnoldtough10.4
14@ATLW2901-1052%Darnoldmid3.8
15INDW17012042%Darnoldtough2.9
16LAW1001364044%Darnoldmid25.4
17@CARW51026047%Darnoldsoft7.7
18@SFW970436042%Darnoldsoft17.3

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 23

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +1 (0.31.3). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — KCvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
NE
Wk 16
SF
Wk 17
@LAC
Full season
Wk 1
DEN
Wk 2
IND
Wk 3
@MIA
Wk 4
@LV
Wk 6
LAC
Wk 7
@SEA
Wk 8
@DEN
Wk 9
NYJ
Wk 10
@ATL
Wk 11
ARI
Wk 12
@BUF
Wk 13
@LA
Wk 14
@CIN
Wk 15
NE
Wk 16
SF
Wk 17
@LAC
Wk 18
LV

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.