Malik Willis
QB · MIA · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (2) to tell whether the 19.2-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
In games with love, Willis averaged 3.2 PPG — 9.6 fewer than the 12.8 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 205 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 100 and 267, with a 85% chance of finishing below replacement (257).
Game log
4 games · 12.8 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Pass yd | TD | INT | Rush yd | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | @NYGW | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 13%! | Love | mid | 5.8 |
| 12 | MINW | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9%! | Love | tough | 0.6 |
| 16 | @CHIL | 121 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 64% | Willis | soft | 13.2 |
| 17 | BALL | 288 | 1 | 0 | 60 | 2 | 83% | Willis | mid | 31.5 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.