Isaiah Likely
TE · BAL · on the draft board
6.9PPG
+1.8 vs 2025 avg (5.1) · 7 games
Signal
⚡ What changed
Since Lamar Jackson took over (Wk 9):6.9 PPGup from 2.7
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Jackson
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
6.9
Avg PPG (split)
5.2
Median week
12.5
Ceiling
2
Floor
Usage & role context — 2025Live · Free
4%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 6 chances
-9.5%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (BAL)
◆ What the average was hiding
Signal: This 4.3-PPG gap in his averages is well outside the margin of error for this sample — real signal, not noise (his individual games still swing ±4.1).
In games with jackson, Likely averaged 6.9 PPG — 1.8 more than the 5.1 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Boom/bust watch: 52% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.