TrueSplits

Chig Okonkwo

TE · WAS · on the draft board

community activityADP falling
market valueTE21· 224 value· tier 41· ▼ down 136 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
7.6PPG
+0.3 vs 2025 avg (7.3) · 16 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Ward
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

7.6
Avg PPG (split)
7.4
Median week
16.4
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 10%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
5%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 5 chances
-3.7%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (TEN)
10%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (TEN)
4.4
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.9 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
9%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+1.2
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (1) to tell whether the 5.4-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

In games with ward, Okonkwo averaged 7.6 PPG0.3 more than the 7.3 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 113
5848% bust11% @1.5x167

Expect about 113 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 58 and 167, with a 48% chance of finishing below replacement (110).

Game log

17 games · 7.3 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@DENL319088%Wardmid4.9
2LAL435076%Wardmid7.5
3INDL566066%Wardsoft11.6
4@HOUL14070%Wardtough1.4
5@ARIW448063%Wardsoft8.8
6@LVL646057%Wardmid10.6
7NEL00060%Wardsoft0.0
8@INDL453062%Wardsoft9.3
9LACL210068%Wardtough3.0
11HOUL356068%Wardtough8.6
12SEAL340063%Wardsoft7.0
13JAXL429061%Wardmid6.9
14@CLEW220048%Wardtough4.0
15@SFL433057%Wardmid7.3
16KCW644145%Wardtough16.4
17NOL355151%Wardtough14.5
18@JAXL22080%Allenmid2.2

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 2Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.6yd (43.4yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — WASvs TE · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 2 tough
Wk 15
ATL
Wk 16
@MIN
Wk 17
@JAX
Full season
Wk 1
@PHI
Wk 2
@DAL
Wk 3
SEA
Wk 4
IND
Wk 5
NYG
Wk 6
@SF
Wk 8
PHI
Wk 9
LA
Wk 10
@NYG
Wk 11
CIN
Wk 12
@ARI
Wk 13
@TEN
Wk 14
HOU
Wk 15
ATL
Wk 16
@MIN
Wk 17
@JAX
Wk 18
DAL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.