TrueSplits

Garrett Wilson

WR · NYJ · on the draft board

market valueWR19· 3,315 value· tier 23· ▼ down 276 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
No games match this split. Loosen a condition to see his real number — TrueSplits never invents one.
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

0
Avg PPG (split)
0
Median week
0
Ceiling
0
Floor
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
4%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 5 chances
-11.3%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (NYJ)
9%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (NYJ)
9.4
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.1 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
17%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
0.0
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 14.2-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 0 games, Garrett Wilson averaged 0 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 212
9539% bust22% @1.5x319

Expect about 212 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 95 and 319, with a 39% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

7 games · 14.2 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1PITL7951100%Fieldssoft22.5
2BUFL450094%Fieldstough9.0
3@TBL10841100%Taylormid24.4
4@MIAL682198%Fieldsmid20.2
5DALL671194%Fieldssoft19.1
6DENL313084%Fieldstough4.3
10CLEW00039%!Fieldsmid0.0

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 6

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -2.2yd (4.72.5yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — NYJvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 0 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@ARI
Wk 16
NE
Wk 17
MIN
Full season
Wk 1
@TEN
Wk 2
GB
Wk 3
@DET
Wk 4
@CHI
Wk 5
CLE
Wk 6
@NE
Wk 7
MIA
Wk 8
LV
Wk 9
@KC
Wk 10
BUF
Wk 11
@LAC
Wk 12
@MIA
Wk 14
DEN
Wk 15
@ARI
Wk 16
NE
Wk 17
MIN
Wk 18
@BUF

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.