TrueSplits

Malik Davis

RB · DAL · on the draft board

community activityADP falling
4.1PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (4.1) · 10 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

4.1
Avg PPG (split)
2.2
Median week
11.7
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: volatileTD-reliance: 30%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
4%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 8 chances
+0.4%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (DAL)
13%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (DAL)

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 4.1-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Boom/bust watch: 55% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 88
2991% bust5% @1.5x144

Expect about 88 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 29 and 144, with a 91% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

10 games · 4.1 PPG avg
WkOppRush ydTDRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
7WASW000001%!Prescottsoft0.0
8@DENL300005%!Prescotttough0.3
9ARIL300007%!Prescottsoft0.3
11@LVW20000019%!Prescottmid2.0
12PHIW24000016%!Prescottmid2.4
13KCW47100012%!Prescotttough10.7
14@DETL6000010%!Prescotttough0.6
15MINL211216053%Prescotttough11.7
16LACL23000034%!Prescotttough2.3
17@WASW103000050%Prescottsoft10.3

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Schedule ahead — DALvs RB · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@LA
Wk 16
JAX
Wk 17
NYG
Full season
Wk 1
@NYG
Wk 2
WAS
Wk 3
BAL
Wk 4
@HOU
Wk 5
TB
Wk 6
@GB
Wk 7
@PHI
Wk 8
ARI
Wk 9
@IND
Wk 10
SF
Wk 11
TEN
Wk 12
PHI
Wk 13
@SEA
Wk 15
@LA
Wk 16
JAX
Wk 17
NYG
Wk 18
@WAS

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.