Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · on the draft board

community activityADP rising

market valueRB44· 339 value· tier 40— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

6.6PPG

-0.6 vs 2025 avg (7.2) · 8 games

Likely noise

SeasonLive · Free

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Cousins

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

6.6

Avg PPG (split)

7.1

Median week

13.5

Ceiling

1.8

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 23%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

24%

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 33 chances

-4.7%

Team pass rate (PROE)

run-leaning play-caller (ATL)

Team play-action

of dropbacks (ATL)

-0.18

Rush yds over exp / att

efficiency vs his blocking

25%

Stacked boxes

carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Likely noise: This 1.2-PPG gap is within the margin of error — no bigger than his normal week-to-week swing (±5.3), so treat it as noise, not a real edge.

In games with cousins, Allgeier averaged 6.6 PPG — 0.6 fewer than the 7.2 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Boom/bust watch: 43% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 92

3088% bust5% @1.5x151

Expect about 92 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 30 and 151, with a 88% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

17 games · 7.2 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rush yd	TD	Rec	Yds	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	TBL	24	0	0	0	25%!	Jr.	mid	2.4
2	@MINW	76	1	1	4	33%!	Jr.	tough	15.0
3	@CARL	4	0	1	0	9%!	Jr.	soft	1.4
4	WASW	51	1	0	0	32%!	Jr.	soft	11.1
6	BUFW	32	1	1	6	31%!	Jr.	soft	10.8
7	@SFL	16	0	0	0	23%!	Jr.	soft	1.6
8	MIAL	4	1	2	10	40%	Cousins	mid	9.4
9	@NEL	6	0	0	0	30%!	Jr.	tough	0.6
10	@INDL	57	2	0	0	37%!	Jr.	tough	17.7
11	CARL	10	1	2	6	21%!	Jr.	soft	9.6
12	@NOW	44	0	1	5	39%!	Cousins	mid	5.9
13	@NYJL	20	1	2	35	25%!	Cousins	soft	13.5
14	SEAL	34	0	2	33	39%!	Cousins	tough	8.7
15	@TBW	18	0	0	0	17%!	Cousins	mid	1.8
16	@ARIW	79	0	1	-6	40%	Cousins	soft	8.3
17	LAW	23	0	0	0	36%!	Cousins	mid	2.3
18	NOW	16	0	1	3	37%!	Cousins	mid	2.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 1Wk 17

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.4 (-0.2 → 0.2). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — ARIvs RB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 1 soft, 0 tough

Wk 15

NYJ

Wk 16

@NO

Wk 17

Full season

Wk 1

@LAC

Wk 2

SEA

Wk 3

@SF

Wk 4

@NYG

Wk 5

DET

Wk 6

@LA

Wk 7

DEN

Wk 8

@DAL

Wk 9

@SEA

Wk 10

Wk 11

@KC

Wk 12

WAS

Wk 13

PHI

Wk 15

NYJ

Wk 16

@NO

Wk 17

Wk 18

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.