TrueSplits

Khalil Shakir

WR · BUF · on the draft board

market valueWR54· 480 value· tier 38· ▲ up 135 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
10.4PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (10.4) · 16 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

10.4
Avg PPG (split)
11.2
Median week
20.8
Ceiling
0.7
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 14%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
8%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 15 chances
-2.5%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (BUF)
11%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (BUF)
3.5
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.8 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
10%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+1.9
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 10.4-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 16 games, Khalil Shakir averaged 10.4 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 145
6576% bust5% @1.5x218

Expect about 145 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 65 and 218, with a 76% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

16 games · 10.4 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1BALW664071%Allensoft12.4
2@NYJW112049%Allenmid2.2
3MIAW445170%Allenmid14.5
4NOW569153%Allentough17.9
5NEL645063%Allenmid11.0
6@ATLL333060%Allenmid6.3
8@CARW688148%Allentough20.8
9KCW743061%Allentough11.3
10@MIAL758066%Allenmid12.8
11TBW1-3054%Allenmid0.7
12@HOUL8110067%Allentough17.0
13@PITW15049%Allensoft1.5
14CINW216150%Allentough9.6
15@NEW565069%Allenmid11.5
16@CLEW434048%Allenmid7.4
17PHIL635078%Allentough9.5

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 20

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: 0yd (3.73.8yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — BUFvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 1 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
CHI
Wk 16
@DEN
Wk 17
@MIA
Full season
Wk 1
@HOU
Wk 2
DET
Wk 3
LAC
Wk 4
NE
Wk 5
@LA
Wk 6
@LV
Wk 8
BAL
Wk 9
@MIN
Wk 10
@NYJ
Wk 11
MIA
Wk 12
KC
Wk 13
@NE
Wk 14
@GB
Wk 15
CHI
Wk 16
@DEN
Wk 17
@MIA
Wk 18
NYJ

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.