TrueSplits

Jameson Williams

WR · DET · on the draft board

market valueWR25· 2,186 value· tier 28· ▼ down 19 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR
12.9PPG
+0 vs 2025 avg (12.9) · 17 games
Not enough games
SeasonLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free
Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

12.9
Avg PPG (split)
13.4
Median week
26.9
Ceiling
0
Floor
start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 19%
Usage & role context — 2025Prior season
6%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 10 chances
-6.2%
Team pass rate (PROE)
run-leaning play-caller (DET)
12%
Team play-action
of dropbacks (DET)
12.4
Target depth (aDOT)
avg air yards per target
3.2 yd
Separation
avg at the catch point
34%
Air-yards share
of the team's intended air yards
+1.8
YAC vs expected
yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 12.9-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 17 games, Jameson Williams averaged 12.9 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 199
8943% bust17% @1.5x300

Expect about 199 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 89 and 300, with a 43% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

17 games · 12.9 PPG avg
WkOppRecYdsTDSnapQBDefPts
1@GBL423097%Goffmid6.6
2CHIW2108188%Goffsoft18.8
3@BALW243091%Goffsoft6.3
4CLEW240085%Goffmid5.7
5@CINW19082%Gofftough2.0
6@KCL666185%Gofftough18.6
7TBW00085%Goffmid0.0
9MINL466191%Gofftough16.6
10@WASW6119187%Goffsoft23.9
11@PHIL488195%Gofftough19.7
12NYGW00097%Goffsoft0.0
13GBL7144194%Goffmid26.9
14DALW796092%Goffsoft17.3
15@LAL7134191%Goffsoft26.4
16PITL570095%Goffsoft12.0
17@MINL237083%Gofftough5.7
18@CHIW674095%Goffsoft13.4

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025
Wk 1Wk 18

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.8yd (3.52.7yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — DETvs WR · 2025 defenses
Fantasy playoffs (wk 1517) · 2 soft, 1 tough
Wk 15
@MIN
Wk 16
NYG
Wk 17
@CHI
Full season
Wk 1
NO
Wk 2
@BUF
Wk 3
NYJ
Wk 4
@CAR
Wk 5
@ARI
Wk 7
GB
Wk 8
MIN
Wk 9
@MIA
Wk 10
NE
Wk 11
TB
Wk 12
CHI
Wk 13
@ATL
Wk 14
TEN
Wk 15
@MIN
Wk 16
NYG
Wk 17
@CHI
Wk 18
@GB

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.