Jaylen Warren

RB · PIT · on the draft board

market valueRB27· 2,218 value· tier 28· ▲ up 259 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

14PPG

+0.4 vs 2025 avg (13.6) · 14 games

Not enough games

SeasonLive · Free

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Rodgers

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

Avg PPG (split)

13.5

Median week

29.1

Ceiling

6.4

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 21%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

28%

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 45 chances

-0.2%

Team pass rate (PROE)

balanced play-caller (PIT)

Team play-action

of dropbacks (PIT)

+0.86

Rush yds over exp / att

efficiency vs his blocking

32%

Stacked boxes

carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (2) to tell whether the 3.2-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

In games with rodgers, Warren averaged 14 PPG — 0.4 more than the 13.6 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 153

5048% bust19% @1.5x250

Expect about 153 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 50 and 250, with a 48% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

16 games · 13.6 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rush yd	TD	Rec	Yds	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	@NYJW	37	0	2	22	1	45%	Rodgers	soft	13.9
2	SEAL	48	0	4	86	0	58%	Rodgers	tough	17.4
3	@NEW	47	0	5	34	0	80%	Rodgers	tough	13.1
6	CLEW	52	0	2	11	0	53%	Rodgers	mid	8.3
7	@CINL	127	0	4	31	0	65%	Rodgers	soft	19.8
8	GBL	62	0	2	11	0	62%	Rodgers	mid	9.3
9	INDW	31	2	2	-2	0	56%	Rodgers	tough	16.9
10	@LACL	70	0	2	21	0	46%	Rodgers	tough	11.1
11	CINW	62	0	2	5	0	28%!	Rudolph	soft	8.7
12	@CHIL	68	1	0	0	0	50%	Rudolph	soft	12.8
13	BUFL	35	1	2	9	0	56%	Rodgers	soft	12.4
14	@BALW	13	0	3	49	1	50%	Rodgers	soft	15.2
15	MIAW	33	0	3	15	0	45%	Rodgers	mid	7.8
16	@DETW	143	2	2	8	0	49%	Rodgers	tough	29.1
17	@CLEL	64	0	0	0	0	32%!	Rodgers	mid	6.4
18	BALW	66	0	5	33	0	37%!	Rodgers	soft	14.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 1Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +1.6 (0.4 → 2). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — PITvs RB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 2 soft, 0 tough

Wk 15

BAL

Wk 16

CAR

Wk 17

@TEN

Full season

Wk 1

ATL

Wk 2

@NE

Wk 3

CIN

Wk 4

@CLE

Wk 5

IND

Wk 6

@TB

Wk 7

@NO

Wk 8

CLE

Wk 10

@CIN

Wk 11

@PHI

Wk 12

DEN

Wk 13

HOU

Wk 14

@JAX

Wk 15

BAL

Wk 16

CAR

Wk 17

@TEN

Wk 18

@BAL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.