Isiah Pacheco
RB · DET · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Small sample: Too few games on one side (2) to tell whether the 1.9-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.
In games with mahomes, Pacheco averaged 6.4 PPG — 0.3 fewer than the 6.7 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 92 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 30 and 151, with a 88% chance of finishing below replacement (148).
Game log
13 games · 6.7 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rush yd | TD | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @LACL | 25 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 51% | Mahomes | tough | 4.8 |
| 2 | PHIL | 22 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 58% | Mahomes | mid | 3.9 |
| 3 | @NYGW | 45 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 56% | Mahomes | soft | 5.8 |
| 4 | BALW | 35 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 37%! | Mahomes | soft | 12.8 |
| 5 | @JAXL | 36 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 62% | Mahomes | tough | 8.6 |
| 6 | DETW | 51 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 77% | Mahomes | tough | 6.1 |
| 7 | LVW | 57 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 56% | Mahomes | mid | 12.4 |
| 8 | WASW | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58% | Mahomes | soft | 5.8 |
| 13 | @DALL | 16 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 30%! | Mahomes | soft | 5.3 |
| 14 | HOUL | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33%! | Mahomes | tough | 3.0 |
| 15 | LACL | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46% | Mahomes | tough | 2.1 |
| 16 | @TENL | 34 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 73% | Oladokun | mid | 13.5 |
| 17 | DENL | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35%! | Oladokun | tough | 3.2 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.2 (-0.8 → -0.6). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.