Kyle Pitts
TE · ATL · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Uncertain: This 7.1-PPG gap is on the edge of the margin of error — suggestive, but this sample can't cleanly separate it from his ±9.9 week-to-week swing.
In games with cousins, Pitts averaged 16.2 PPG — 3.8 more than the 12.4 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Boom/bust watch: 50% of the points in this split came from just 2 games — the median week is lower than the average implies.
Expect about 132 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 68 and 196, with a 34% chance of finishing below replacement (110).
Game log
17 games · 12.4 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TBL | 7 | 59 | 0 | 78% | Jr. | soft | 12.9 |
| 2 | @MINW | 4 | 37 | 0 | 80% | Jr. | tough | 7.7 |
| 3 | @CARL | 4 | 39 | 0 | 82% | Jr. | mid | 7.9 |
| 4 | WASW | 5 | 70 | 1 | 74% | Jr. | soft | 18.0 |
| 6 | BUFW | 3 | 18 | 0 | 93% | Jr. | tough | 4.8 |
| 7 | @SFL | 7 | 62 | 0 | 82% | Jr. | mid | 13.2 |
| 8 | MIAL | 9 | 59 | 0 | 92% | Cousins | soft | 14.9 |
| 9 | @NEL | 4 | 38 | 0 | 95% | Jr. | soft | 7.8 |
| 10 | @INDL | 2 | 38 | 0 | 92% | Jr. | soft | 5.8 |
| 11 | CARL | 2 | 14 | 0 | 83% | Jr. | mid | 3.4 |
| 12 | @NOW | 2 | 25 | 0 | 95% | Cousins | tough | 4.5 |
| 13 | @NYJL | 7 | 82 | 0 | 91% | Cousins | soft | 15.2 |
| 14 | SEAL | 6 | 90 | 0 | 92% | Cousins | soft | 15.0 |
| 15 | @TBW | 11 | 166 | 3 | 96% | Cousins | soft | 45.6 |
| 16 | @ARIW | 7 | 57 | 1 | 87% | Cousins | soft | 18.7 |
| 17 | LAW | 2 | 16 | 0 | 92% | Cousins | mid | 3.6 |
| 18 | NOW | 6 | 58 | 0 | 92% | Cousins | tough | 11.8 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.6yd (3.2 → 3.8yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.