Chuba Hubbard

RB · CAR · on the draft board

market valueRB28· 1,435 value· tier 33· ▼ down 674 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

8.3PPG

-0.1 vs 2025 avg (8.4) · 14 games

Not enough games

⚡ What changed

Since returning (Wk 7):6.3 PPGdown from 14

Since he lost his lead role (Wk 9):5.8 PPGdown from 12.2

SeasonLive · Free

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Young

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

8.3

Avg PPG (split)

6.2

Median week

20.4

Ceiling

1.7

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: streakyTD-reliance: 16%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

18%

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 25 chances

-3.6%

Team pass rate (PROE)

run-leaning play-caller (CAR)

10%

Team play-action

of dropbacks (CAR)

-0.30

Rush yds over exp / att

efficiency vs his blocking

20%

Stacked boxes

carries vs 8+ defenders

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (1) to tell whether the 1.1-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

In games with young, Hubbard averaged 8.3 PPG — 0.1 fewer than the 8.4 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 128

4262% bust8% @1.5x209

Expect about 128 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 42 and 209, with a 62% chance of finishing below replacement (148).

Game log

15 games · 8.4 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rush yd	TD	Rec	Yds	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	@JAXL	57	0	3	32	1	67%	Young	tough	17.9
2	@ARIL	38	0	5	39	1	74%	Young	soft	18.7
3	ATLW	73	0	2	3	0	62%	Young	mid	9.6
4	@NEL	49	0	3	20	0	51%	Young	tough	9.9
7	@NYJW	31	0	2	24	0	54%	Young	soft	7.5
8	BUFL	34	1	0	0	0	57%	Dalton	soft	9.4
9	@GBW	17	0	0	0	0	22%!	Young	mid	1.7
10	NOL	14	0	1	1	0	21%!	Young	mid	2.5
11	@ATLW	21	0	1	7	0	19%!	Young	mid	3.8
12	@SFL	16	0	4	27	0	35%!	Young	soft	8.3
13	LAW	83	0	2	41	1	59%	Young	mid	20.4
15	@NOL	29	0	1	9	0	42%	Young	mid	4.8
16	TBW	27	0	1	7	0	41%	Young	mid	4.4
17	SEAL	12	0	3	6	0	38%!	Young	tough	2.8
18	@TBL	10	0	2	7	0	45%	Young	mid	3.7

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Rush yards over expected / att — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 1Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -0.1 (-0.3 → -0.5). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — CARvs RB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 1 soft, 2 tough

Wk 15

CIN

Wk 16

@PIT

Wk 17

SEA

Full season

Wk 1

CHI

Wk 2

@ATL

Wk 3

@CLE

Wk 4

DET

Wk 6

@PHI

Wk 7

Wk 8

@GB

Wk 9

DEN

Wk 10

@NO

Wk 11

BAL

Wk 12

@TB

Wk 13

@MIN

Wk 14

Wk 15

CIN

Wk 16

@PIT

Wk 17

SEA

Wk 18

ATL

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.