TSTrueSplitsthe fantasy stats that show their work

Nico Collins

WR · HOU · on the draft board

14.2PPG
-0.9 vs 2025 avg (15.1) · 11 games
Likely noise
SeasonLive · Free
Which QB was under centerLive · Free
Game script & venueLive · Free
Honest filtersLive · Free
Scoring
Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Stroud
Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

14.2
Avg PPG (split)
14.2
Median week
23.5
Ceiling
5.5
Floor
Usage & role context — 2025Live · Free
13%
Red-zone role
share of team RZ opps · 20 chances
-0.5%
Team pass rate (PROE)
balanced play-caller (HOU)
◆ What the average was hiding

Likely noise: This 3.2-PPG gap is within the margin of error — no bigger than his normal week-to-week swing (±6.5), so treat it as noise, not a real edge.

In games with stroud, Collins averaged 14.2 PPG0.9 fewer than the 15.1 PPG season line your draft board shows.