Jalen Hurts

QB · PHI · on the draft board

market valueQB7· 2,647 value· tier 26· ▲ up 21 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

18.8PPG

+0 vs 2025 avg (18.8) · 16 games

Not enough games

SeasonLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · all games

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

18.8

Avg PPG (split)

19.5

Median week

30.9

Ceiling

2.4

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 66% · regression risk

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

18%

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 27 chances

-1.5%

Team pass rate (PROE)

balanced play-caller (PHI)

10%

Team play-action

of dropbacks (PHI)

+3.1%

Completion % over exp

accuracy vs throw difficulty

2.98s

Time to throw

avg snap to release

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (0) to tell whether the 18.8-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

Across all 16 games, Jalen Hurts averaged 18.8 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 262

12948% bust5% @1.5x342

Expect about 262 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 129 and 342, with a 48% chance of finishing below replacement (257).

Game log

16 games · 18.8 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Pass yd	TD	INT	Rush yd	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	DALW	152	0	0	62	2	100%	Hurts	soft	24.3
2	@KCW	101	0	0	15	1	100%	Hurts	tough	11.5
3	LAW	226	3	0	40	1	100%	Hurts	mid	29.0
4	@TBW	130	2	0	62	0	100%	Hurts	soft	19.4
5	DENL	280	2	0	3	0	100%	Hurts	tough	19.5
6	@NYGL	283	1	1	13	1	100%	Hurts	mid	20.6
7	@MINW	326	3	0	-10	0	100%	Hurts	tough	24.0
8	NYGW	179	4	0	22	0	93%	Hurts	mid	25.4
10	@GBW	183	1	0	27	0	100%	Hurts	soft	12.0
11	DETW	135	0	0	31	1	100%	Hurts	soft	14.5
12	@DALL	289	1	0	33	2	100%	Hurts	soft	30.9
13	CHIL	230	2	1	31	0	100%	Hurts	soft	16.3
14	@LACL	240	0	4	8	0	100%	Hurts	tough	2.4
15	LVW	175	3	0	39	0	75%	Hurts	tough	22.9
16	@WASW	185	2	0	40	0	94%	Hurts	soft	19.4
17	@BUFW	110	1	0	5	0	100%	Hurts	tough	8.9

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Completion % over expected — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 1Wk 19

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -5.4% (4.4 → -1%). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — PHIvs QB · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 0 soft, 2 tough

Wk 15

SEA

Wk 16

HOU

Wk 17

@SF

Full season

Wk 1

WAS

Wk 2

@TEN

Wk 3

@CHI

Wk 4

Wk 5

@JAX

Wk 6

CAR

Wk 7

DAL

Wk 8

@WAS

Wk 9

NYG

Wk 11

PIT

Wk 12

@DAL

Wk 13

@ARI

Wk 14

IND

Wk 15

SEA

Wk 16

HOU

Wk 17

@SF

Wk 18

@NYG

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.