CeeDee Lamb

WR · DAL · on the draft board

market valueWR6· 7,319 value· tier 7· ▼ down 384 (30d)— FantasyCalc · 12-team PPR

16.6PPG

+1.2 vs 2025 avg (15.5) · 12 games

Not enough games

SeasonLive · Free

Which QB was under centerLive · Free

Game script & venueLive · Free

Matchup (defense vs his position)Live · Free

Snap-share floor (your definition of “starting”)

any snaps

Honest filtersLive · Free

Scoring

Week-by-week fantasy points2025 · With Prescott

Counted in splitExcludedHover a bar for the game

Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.

16.6

Avg PPG (split)

17.4

Median week

24.2

Ceiling

9.6

Floor

start/sit readConsistency: steadyTD-reliance: 9%

Usage & role context — 2025Prior season

Red-zone role

share of team RZ opps · 17 chances

+0.4%

Team pass rate (PROE)

balanced play-caller (DAL)

13%

Team play-action

of dropbacks (DAL)

12.3

Target depth (aDOT)

avg air yards per target

2.8 yd

Separation

avg at the catch point

28%

Air-yards share

of the team's intended air yards

+0.5

YAC vs expected

yards after catch over expectation

Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.

◆ What the average was hiding

Small sample: Too few games on one side (1) to tell whether the 15.2-PPG gap is real — a small-sample hint, not a finding.

In games with prescott, Lamb averaged 16.6 PPG — 1.2 more than the 15.5 PPG season line your draft board shows.

Season outlook · 10yr @ this costmedian 254

11427% bust42% @1.5x382

Expect about 254 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 114 and 382, with a 27% chance of finishing below replacement (183).

Game log

13 games · 15.5 PPG avg

Wk	Opp	Rec	Yds	TD	Snap	QB	Def	Pts
1	@PHIL	7	110	0	92%	Prescott	tough	18.0
2	NYGW	9	112	0	92%	Prescott	soft	20.2
7	WASW	5	110	1	78%	Prescott	soft	22.0
8	@DENL	7	74	0	72%	Prescott	tough	14.6
9	ARIL	7	85	0	88%	Prescott	mid	15.5
11	@LVW	5	66	1	73%	Prescott	mid	17.6
12	PHIW	4	75	0	85%	Prescott	tough	11.5
13	KCW	7	112	1	81%	Prescott	tough	24.2
14	@DETL	6	121	0	46%	Prescott	soft	18.1
15	MINL	6	111	0	86%	Prescott	tough	17.1
16	LACL	6	51	0	86%	Prescott	tough	11.1
17	@WASW	5	46	0	87%	Prescott	soft	9.6
18	@NYGL	1	4	0	45%	III	soft	1.4

Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.

Separation — week by weekNext Gen Stats · 2025

Wk 1Wk 17

Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.3yd (2.7 → 3yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.

Schedule ahead — DALvs WR · 2025 defenses

Fantasy playoffs (wk 15–17) · 1 soft, 0 tough

Wk 15

@LA

Wk 16

JAX

Wk 17

NYG

Full season

Wk 1

@NYG

Wk 2

WAS

Wk 3

BAL

Wk 4

@HOU

Wk 5

Wk 6

@GB

Wk 7

@PHI

Wk 8

ARI

Wk 9

@IND

Wk 10

Wk 11

TEN

Wk 12

PHI

Wk 13

@SEA

Wk 15

@LA

Wk 16

JAX

Wk 17

NYG

Wk 18

@WAS

Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.