Michael Pittman
WR · PIT · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Uncertain: This 6.6-PPG gap is on the edge of the margin of error — suggestive, but this sample can't cleanly separate it from his ±7.5 week-to-week swing.
In games with jones, Pittman averaged 13.8 PPG — 1.9 more than the 11.9 PPG season line your draft board shows.
Expect about 163 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 73 and 246, with a 62% chance of finishing below replacement (183).
Game log
17 games · 11.9 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIAW | 6 | 80 | 1 | 82% | Jones | mid | 20.0 |
| 2 | DENW | 4 | 40 | 0 | 83% | Jones | tough | 8.0 |
| 3 | @TENW | 6 | 73 | 1 | 81% | Jones | soft | 19.3 |
| 4 | @LAL | 5 | 41 | 1 | 93% | Jones | soft | 15.1 |
| 5 | LVW | 5 | 39 | 1 | 82% | Jones | mid | 14.9 |
| 6 | ARIW | 2 | 20 | 0 | 85% | Jones | mid | 4.0 |
| 7 | @LACW | 7 | 58 | 1 | 87% | Jones | tough | 20.8 |
| 8 | TENW | 8 | 95 | 1 | 79% | Jones | soft | 23.5 |
| 9 | @PITL | 9 | 115 | 0 | 88% | Jones | soft | 20.5 |
| 10 | ATLW | 2 | 19 | 0 | 81% | Jones | mid | 3.9 |
| 12 | @KCL | 5 | 27 | 1 | 82% | Jones | tough | 13.7 |
| 13 | HOUL | 1 | 13 | 0 | 83% | Jones | tough | 2.3 |
| 14 | @JAXL | 9 | 79 | 0 | 87% | Leonard | mid | 16.9 |
| 15 | @SEAL | 3 | 26 | 0 | 93% | Rivers | tough | 5.6 |
| 16 | SFL | 4 | 32 | 0 | 93% | Rivers | soft | 7.2 |
| 17 | JAXL | 2 | 16 | 0 | 86% | Rivers | mid | 3.6 |
| 18 | @HOUL | 2 | 11 | 0 | 89% | Leonard | tough | 3.1 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: +0.4yd (2.8 → 3.2yd). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.