Rico Dowdle
RB · PIT · on the draft board
Source: nflverse play-by-play, computed from real snaps — not an AI guess. Deterministic and reproducible. Hover any bar to see the game behind it.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse; team play-action via FTN Data (via nflverse). Prior-season context, shown beside the split — never folded into it.
Signal: This 9.7-PPG gap in his averages is well outside the margin of error for this sample — real signal, not noise (his individual games still swing ±9.8).
Across all 13 games, Rico Dowdle averaged 15 PPG. Toggle a condition to see how honest that number really is — that gap is where drafts are won.
Expect about 134 points. Ten years of drafts at this cost landed between 44 and 220, with a 57% chance of finishing below replacement (148).
Game log
17 games · 12.7 PPG avg| Wk | Opp | Rush yd | TD | Rec | Yds | TD | Snap | QB | Def | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @JAXL | 12 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 34%! | Young | tough | 3.6 |
| 2 | @ARIL | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 29%! | Young | soft | 2.9 |
| 3 | ATLW | 30 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 40% | Young | mid | 10.8 |
| 4 | @NEL | 32 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 39%! | Young | tough | 4.0 |
| 5 | MIAW | 206 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 67% | Young | mid | 32.4 |
| 6 | DALW | 183 | 0 | 4 | 56 | 1 | 88% | Young | soft | 33.9 |
| 7 | @NYJW | 79 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 46% | Young | soft | 10.6 |
| 8 | BUFL | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36%! | Dalton | soft | 5.4 |
| 9 | @GBW | 130 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 72% | Young | mid | 28.1 |
| 10 | NOL | 53 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 79% | Young | mid | 15.3 |
| 11 | @ATLW | 45 | 0 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 82% | Young | mid | 15.0 |
| 12 | @SFL | 38 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 65% | Young | soft | 11.4 |
| 13 | LAW | 58 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 42% | Young | mid | 9.9 |
| 15 | @NOL | 49 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 60% | Young | mid | 12.4 |
| 16 | TBW | 29 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 57% | Young | mid | 8.3 |
| 17 | SEAL | 59 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 64% | Young | tough | 9.3 |
| 18 | @TBL | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 53% | Young | mid | 3.0 |
Every TrueValue on this site is an average of exactly these rows — filtered by the conditions you pick above. !marks a game he didn’t finish, which durable-role splits leave out.
Last 4 weeks vs earlier: -1.3 (1 → -0.3). Tracking data, not box-score points — a move here often shows up before the scoring does.
Green = that defense allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last season, red = the fewest. Matchup is a tiebreaker, not a verdict — it moves a close call, not a clear one.